Workshop

Earth System Model Evaluation to Improve Process Understanding

calendar
Jul 30th, 2017 - Aug 4th, 2017
location
Aspen

Earth System Models (ESMs) are highly-ambitious — they attempt to help understand and project how the physical climate and biogeochemical cycles of the globe changes under a wide-range of anthropogenic and natural forcings. Given the challenge of this task, it is perhaps unsurprising that different models project rather different degrees of climate change over the next 100 years. However, it is vital that this range is reduced to improve the quality of the information that policymakers, businesses, and the public, have to act upon. This workshop aims to contribute to reducing the spread of climate projections by enabling more complete evaluation of model outputs against observations, and by identifying Emergent Constraints – observable aspects of the contemporary Earth System that are most closely related to future projections.

Funding Partners

How a Sentence Changed Science: Lessons Learned from the 1995 Climate Report

Presented By Ben Santer
Date August 1, 2017

Agenda

Expand to see available videos and presentations
Day 1July 31, 2017

10:25 am Part I: Historical View of Model Performance, and the Role of Models in Understanding the Climate System

1:55 pm Part II: Opportunities from New Observations and Observational Uncertainty in the Context of Model Evaluation

3:55 pm Part III: Application of New CMIP Evaluation Tools to CMIP5/6 Models, Workflow

Organizers

Peter Michael Cox

University of Exeter
Professor of Climate System Dynamics
starEvent Co-Chair

Veronika Eyring

Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) German Aerospace Center
Professor of Climate Modelling
starEvent Co-Chair

Gregory Flato

Environment and Climate Change Canada
Senior Research Scientist
starEvent Co-Chair

Peter Gleckler

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL)
Scientist
starEvent Co-Chair

Attendees

University of New South Wales (UNSW Sydney)
Senior Lecturer
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL)
Research Scientist
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)
Division Director
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) German Aerospace Center
University of California, Los Angeles
Professor
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)
Senior Computational Earth System Scientist
University of Maryland
Professor
Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI)
Program Director
University of Colorado, Boulder
Assistant Professor
Met Office Hadley Centre
Research Fellow, Earth System and Mitigation Science Team
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL)
Research Scientist
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Physical Scientist
Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL)
Postdoctoral Researcher
ETH Zurich
Senior Scientist
Colorado State University (CSU)
Professor
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
Senior Scientist
Cornell University
Assistant Professor
University of Colorado, Boulder
Senior Research Scientist
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
Research Physical Scientist
University of Arizona
Associate Professor
Centre Européen de Recherche et de Formation Avancée en Calcul Scientifique (CERFACS)
Research Scientist
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL)
Atmospheric Scientist
University of New South Wales (UNSW Sydney)
Professor
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
Scientist 1
University of Arizona
Physical Scientist
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)
Project Scientist
University of Exeter
Research Fellow

Participant profiles are always being updated. For information on participant affiliation at time of workshop, please refer to the historical roster If you are aware of updates needed to participant or workshop records, please notify AGCI’s workshops team