Anticipating Global Change Surprises

Jul 31st, 1994 - Aug 13th, 1994

The possibility of unexpected physical, biological, and social impacts of global scale environmental change is an inhibiting factor in creating policy responses. Participants in this session worked to define and clarify terms relevant to responding to global change, as well as create best practices for characterizing and communicating uncertainty. A categorization of types of unexpected events (surprises) was developed as part of the workshop.

Keywords: uncertainty; communication; climate change and variability

Workshop Outcomes

  • Anticipating Global Change Surprises
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Day 1August 1, 1994


B.L. Turner II

Arizona State University
starEvent Co-Chair

Stephen H. Schneider

Stanford University
starEvent Co-Chair


National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Netherlands
University of California, Los Angeles
Duke University
Pennsylvania State University
Associate Professor
University of Toronto
Council of Economic Advisors
Clark University
Professor of Goverment/Geography
Clark University
Research Associate Professor
University of Calgary
Population Council
Scientific Consultancy Ltd.
United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)
Associate Director
Stanford University
Associate Professor
University of California, Berkeley
Graduate Student
Sol Y Sombra, Santa Fe
Stanford University
University of California, San Diego
University of Washington
Associate Professor
Tulane University
University of Michigan
Assistant Professor

View Historical Roster

The attendee list and participant profiles are regularly updated. For information on participant affiliation at the time of workshop, please refer to the historical roster. If you are aware of updates needed to participant or workshop records, please notify AGCI’s workshops team.