
The Early Detection of Global Change
This workshop explored early detection systems as a means of identifying and responding to large scale changes in Earth systems caused by human activities. Participants sought to document Earth system changes that are occurring on a global scale, differentiate human factors from natural factors of change, and establish links between driving factors of change and systemic responses. The role of remote sensing as a key component of change detection was a key part of the discussion.
Keywords: ecosystems; human interactions; land use change; climate variability and change, remote sensing
Overview & Relevance:
The definition of research on early detection of global environmental change is research conducted for the purpose of documenting changes in varied Earth System parameters that are consistent with the expected/predicted consequences of natural and human-induced changes in global forcing.
The intent of early detection research is to:
1. Document the earth system changes that area result of processes that are global in nature
2. Differentiate those changes due to human-induced forcing factors from those due to natural forcing factors
3. Establish the causal linkages between the changes in forcing factors and Earth system responses
To be consistent with the goals of the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) the research should thus encompass both detection and attribution of the cause of observed changes in the earth system.
Early detection research may involve the use of existing records (e.g., historic climate records) to identify human-induced signal of change in forcing factors. It may also involve the development and implementation of new ground and space-based sensors (e.g., EOS) to augment and extend existing Earth system records for the purpose of documenting expected changes in the future. In either case, early detection research in the USGCRP is considered focused if its primary intent involves documenting global environmental changes that are a consequence of natural and human-induced changes. Forcing factors for expected changes must be global in nature. The impact of these changes should be measurable at the local, regional, and global scales. Strategies for detecting changes may be applied at all of these scales.
Content:
This session followed these broad themes:
• Science
• Technology
• Policy
Agenda
Expand to see available videos and presentations
10:40 am Public Policy and Global Change Research Presented by Peter E. Cunniffe
12:00 am Introduction and Overview of Research Areas Presented by Allen M. Solomon
9:00 am International GC Databases — UNEP GRID Data Base Presented by Ole Hebin
4:00 pm Summary Discussion of Week #1 Presented by James Lawless, John E. Estes
9:00 am Review of Week #1 & Analysis of Early Detection Definition
10:40 am An Industry Perspective on Global Change Issues Presented by Fred Henderson
9:00 am Remote Sensing and Early Detection of Global Change Presented by John Vesecky
5:30 pm Roundtable Discussion: Database Layers & Recommendations Presented by James Lawless, John E. Estes
9:00 am Physical & Biological Changes in the Coastal Zone Presented by Fredric A. Godshall
1:00 pm Examples of Global Change Research- TVA Presented by Robb Turner
2:00 pm Climate Change Assessment Education Presented by Allen A. Schmieder
3:00 pm Windows on Global Change Project Presented by Ralph Kahn
9:00 am Policy Relevance of Early Signal Detection Research Presented by Barbara Levinson
10:40 am NASA’s Approach to Science Education Outreach Presented by Cherilynn Morrow
1:00 pm Final Roundtable and Summary Discussions Presented by James Lawless, John E. Estes
Organizers
Attendees

























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