AGCI Session I: Natural Hazards and Global Change
Session Chairs: Louis Walter and E. L. Quarantelli
- July 10 to 17, 1996
III. Elements
of Natural Disaster Reduction IV. Vision and
Priorities for Action VI. Summary
Recommendations and Actions Session One
Participant Roster
AGCI Session II: Characterizing
and Communicating Scientific Uncertainty Session Chairs: Dr. Richard H. Moss and Dr.
Stephen H. Schneider July 31 to August 8, 1996
Table of Contents
Session
Synthesis Essay: Characterizing and Communicating Scientific
Uncertainty: Moving Ahead from the IPCC Second Assessment Richard
Moss and Stephen Schneider, Session Chairs Bayesian
Approaches to Characterizing Probabilities Richard Berk Climate
Effects on Food Security Robert S. Chen Seismic
Risk Analysis as an Example of Aggregating Expert Opinion C.
Allin Cornell What's a
Journalist to Do? Challenges and Approaches to Reporting Scientific
Assessment Sharon Dunwoody Emissions
Mitigation and Atmospheric CO2 Jae Edmonds Models in
the Policy Arena Paul Edwards Uncertainties
in Observed Changes in Climate Variables Tom Karl Why the
IPCC Detection Chapter Was So Controversial Michael MacCracken
Freshwater
Ecosystems, Hydrology & Water Resources John J. Magnuson Quantitative
Expert Subjective Judgment: Does It Have a Role in Future IPCC
Assessments? Granger Morgan Subjective
Probability Rankings and the IPCC Process Richard Moss Estimating
Damages and Costs of Climate Change Mohan Munasinghe Technological
Potential for Mitigation Nebojsa Nakicenovic Different
Levels of Treatment of Uncertainty in Risk Analysis and Aggregation
of Expert Opinions Elisabeth Paté-Cornell Communicating
Estimated Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture John Reilly How to
Approach Assessing Climate Impacts on Animals Terry Root Climate
Change Detection and Attribution Assessment in the IPCC
Proceedings Benjamin D. Santer Empirical
Estimation of Climate Sensitivity and Anthropogenic Sulfate
Forcing and:
When
We Don't Know the Costs or the Benefits: Adaptive Strategies for
Abating Climate Change Michael Schlesinger Expressing
Uncertainty and Subjective Probabilities and:
The
Role of the Scientist-Advocate Stephen Schneider A Social
Constructionist View of Scientific Objectivity Simon Shackley
Terrestrial
Ecosystems: Controversies in Assessing Climate Impacts Allen M.
Solomon How
Journalists Deal With Scientific Uncertainty S. Holly Stocking
Probabilities
in Sea Level Rise Projections Jim Titus Social Costs of
Climate Change Richard S. J. Tol Recent
Changes in El Niño/Southern Oscillation and Climatic
Implications Kevin Trenberth Treatment of
Uncertainty in Integrated Assessments John Weyant Session Two
Participant Roster
Aspen Global
Change Institute Homepage//Go to top of Elements of Change Table of
Contents
Table of Contents