Figure 2.2

Climate Sensitivity under 2xCO2 forcing, °K

Box plots of elicited probability distributions of the change in global average surface temperature resulting from a doubling of CO2. The horizontal lines denote the range from minimum to maximum assessed possible values. Vertical marks indicate the locations of the lower 5th and upper 95th percentiles. The boxes indicate the interval spanned by the 50% confidence interval. The solid dots indicate the mean and open dots, the median. Source: Morgan and Keith, 1995.

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