Background
This publication is a product of AGCI's
2006
"Earth Systems Models: The Next Generation" workshop.
Author/Editor(s): Kathy Hibbard, Gerald Meehl, Peter Cox, Pierre Friedlingstein
DescriptionMuch progress has been made in recent years to improve climate modeling, but a failure to fully incorporate variables such as the carbon cycle prevent the accurate projection of stabilization scenarios. As a result, a next-generation of climate models is needed. This article lays out a roadmap for a new stage of climate modeling efforts, suggesting that two timeframes be addressed—near-term (2005-2030) and long-term (2005-2100). The near-term would disregard the effects of the carbon cycle and use already committed to CO2 levels to gauge regional impacts. The long-term models would assess climate outcomes on the basis of potential policy options and incorporate carbon cycle feedbacks through the use of three different experiments.
CitationHibbard, Kathy A., Gerald A. Meehl, Peter M. Cox, and Pierre Friedlingstein. 2007. A Strategy for Climate Change Stabilization Experiments. EOS: Vol. 88, No. 20, 15 May 2007.
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