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Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI)
is an independent nonprofit dedicated to furthering the scientific understanding of Earth systems and global environmental change through interdisciplinary scientific workshops, educational programs, and publications & videos.




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FEATURED VIDEO

If we can't predict weather beyond 10 days, why can we predict climate beyond 10 years?

This lecture describes the distinction and the scientific underpinnings for weather and climate prediction. Specific examples include El Nino, persistent drought in the western US, decadal climate variability and climate change. Dr. Kirtman also comments on the current advances in climate prediction and prospects for the development of improved predictive capability critical in agriculture and resource management. Recorded 28 June 2011.

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NEWSWORTHY
Warming Temperatures Keep Pace to Decade's End

Warming Temperatures Keep Pace to Decade's End

A new study of up-to-date global surface temperature data concludes that temperatures in the past decade have continued to rise at a pace as fast as was witnessed in the previous two decades. The results published in Reviews of Geophysics by NASA scientist Jim Hansen, et al were corrected for urban heat island and other corrections to the instrumental record. In the paper, the authors draw attention to many striking observations, including the fact that a record high of the 12-month running mean of global average temperatures was reached in 2010. Data used in this analysis spans 1880-2010 and draws on 6300 land-based measurement stations as well as a mixture of satellite and ship and buoy measurements to gauge sea surface temperatures. A summary and full text version of the paper are available through the links below.

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